Based on the characteristics of China''s energy storage technology development and considering the uncertainties in policy, technological innovation, and market, this study
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View moreChina's energy storage incentive policies are imperfect, and there are problems such as insufficient local policy implementation and lack of long-term mechanisms . Since the frequency and magnitude of future policy adjustments are not specified, it is impossible for energy storage technology investors to make appropriate investment decisions.
Subsidy policies for energy storage technologies are adjusted according to changes in market competition, technological progress, and other factors; thus, energy storage subsidy policies are uncertain. In this section, the investment decision of energy storage technology with different investment strategies under an uncertain policy is studied.
Therefore, in order to provide a more realistic investment decisions framework for energy storage technology, this study develops a sequential investment decision model based on real options theory, which can consider policy, technological innovation, and market uncertainties.
Additionally, the investment threshold is significantly lower under the single strategy than it is under the continuous strategy. Therefore, direct investment in future energy storage technologies is the best choice when new technologies are already available.
Meanwhile, China's policy uncertainty in energy storage technology investment presents as a valuable case study for other countries. Furthermore, the findings of this study are particularly helpful for energy storage investors and policymakers, not only in China but also in other countries.
However, for new technologies, the investment cost is lower and the benefit is higher, which has a better investment value than the current energy storage technologies. Additionally, the investment threshold is significantly lower under the single strategy than it is under the continuous strategy.
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